As the nation's largest financial institutions scramble to pay back their bailout money, some regional banks may be on the government dole until at least 2011. Lending for offices, malls, hotels, and similar properties averages more than a third of loans at 35 of the biggest regional players with federal funds, according to an analysis by Bloomberg BusinessWeek . By comparison, such debt averages 9.5% of loans at Citigroup and Wells Fargo. And with defaults at a 16-year high and rising, the worst may be yet to come.
Until the regional banks are on better financial footing, the government likely will have a say in their affairs. When considering whether to let banks repay the bailout funds, the U.S. is looking at profits and capital, among other things. Big banks, which have more revenue streams, may have an edge. If Citigroup and Wells Fargo join JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America in returning their bailout funds, they'll be free to press their advantage in markets they already dominate, such as consumer lending. Regional firms with federal aid may also look less attractive to investors, since those banks won't be able to declare dividends or stock repurchases without seeking the feds' approval.
When the delegates at the climate summit in Copenhagen need to call home, they can do so in style. Cisco Systems is outfitting four rooms in the city's Bella convention center with a giant-screen teleconferencing system, enabling officials to confer face to face with counterparts in 100 places around the world. The donation is not entirely altruistic. It's a demonstration of how Cisco's products can substitute for business travel, slashing carbon emissions. Technologies such as these "have the power to transform how the world manages its energy and environmental challenges," says Laura Ipsen, Cisco's senior vice-president for global policy.
Government has thrown a lot at the unemployment problem already, from near zero interest rates to a $787 billion fiscal stimulus, with limited success. Here are some of the other ideas in circulation. Some economists estimate that temporarily cutting Social Security payroll taxes roughly in half would increase employment by 3 million to 4 million workers by making it cheaper for employers to add staff. But such a cut would worsen Social Security's long-run financing problems. And if sales are weak, employers still might not add jobs. Conservative economists say the free market will create jobs soon enough if trade were expanded and distortions such as costly regulation, too-high minimum wages, and extended unemployment benefits that discourage job-seeking were ended. Trouble is, with demand so soft, it's not clear such steps would increase employment.
China, soon to become the world's second-largest economy, has also become increasingly outspoken in criticizing the U.S. for what it calls trade protectionism. Indeed, even as Obama was arriving in Beijing from Shanghai, China's commerce ministry was taking the U.S. to task for backsliding on economic openness. "We've always known the U.S. and the West as free-market economies. But now we're seeing a protectionist side," said Commerce Ministry spokesman Yao Jian, citing 10 separate trade actions, including those against steel pipes and auto tires, that Washington has taken against Beijing this year. Yao also criticized continuing U.S. restrictions on high-tech exports to China.
U.S secretary of state Hilary Clinton vowed Thursday to continue American military support for the Philippines's efforts to root out insurgents, despite calls from some Filipino nationalists for the Philippine government to renegotiate the terms of the legal framework enabling U.S troops to operate there.
With every uptick in the unemployment rate, Congress and the Obama Administration face more pressure to bolster job growth. They are also under constant criticism for the high level of federal spending and rising federal budget deficit—especially from Republicans, but also from Democrats in conservative districts. The question from here will be how to balance those competing political pressures, especially in the runup to the 2010 midterm elections.